1. Review of Market Fluctuations

Figure:https://www.gate.com/trade/BTC_USDT
On June 9, Bitcoin experienced slight consolidation around 105k and remained stable; on June 13, it faced a geopolitical shock, briefly dropping to 102.7k before quickly rebounding; on June 15, it oscillated again between 104.5k and 105.7k, rising approximately 0.15% during the day.
2. Risk Event Driving Factors
The main drivers of this round of fluctuations include:
- Middle East Conflict: The military confrontation between Israel and Iran intensifies, triggering a short-term demand for market safety.
- US Macroeconomic Outlook: Investors are closely watching the upcoming inflation and interest rate data, as any unexpected news could trigger significant volatility in the crypto market.
3. Short-term technical signals
Technical indicators show:
- Support level: 104k is an important bottom. If this position is lost, it may further探至 100k;
- Resistance level: 106–108k range has formed selling pressure multiple times. If the price breaks through this area, it may usher in a new round of upward trend.
- Trading Volume: Recently, when the volume has rebounded, it has significantly expanded, indicating that the buying power is still considerable, providing momentum for a price rebound.
4. Investor Operation Guidelines
For novice investors:
- Risk Management: It is recommended to control the position at 5%-10% of total assets and set a stop-loss level.
- Phased layout: You can gradually build positions near 104k in batches, reducing the cost risk of a one-time purchase.
- Follow the news: closely monitor the situation in the Middle East and the Federal Reserve’s movements to seize buying and selling opportunities.
In summary, holding the 105k support is key for short-term bulls. By combining risk events with technical signals and making reasonable allocations, one can maintain stability amidst volatility.